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Reading Forecasts

Empirical automatically generates a forecast for each of your project’s epics using a Monte Carlo simulation with thousands of iterations. The results are aggregated into a chart that shows the probability of completing an epic on or before a given date:

AUTH-1

Authentication System Overhaul

On Track

100% chance to deliver by Jan 31

0%50%100%Jan 1Mar 31Due date

This gives you and your stakeholders a clear way to articulate the confidence that you’ll ship by a certain date.

Epic Statuses

Epics with due dates set are automatically color coded green, yellow or red based on their chance to complete by their due date.

On track

Epics with an 85%+ chance to complete by their due date are labeled “On track” and colored green.

On track Forecast

At risk

Epics with a 51-84% chance to complete by their due date are labeled “At risk” and colored yellow.

At risk Forecast

Off track

Epics with a 50% or less chance to complete by their due date are labeled “Off track” and colored red.

Off track Forecast